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Natural-Rate-of-Interest

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Online First Journal of Money, Credit and Banking Online 15 Sep 2025
Monetary Policy and the Drifting Natural Rate of Interest

Sandra Daudignon · Oreste Tristani

This paper analyzes how monetary policy should respond to a long-run natural interest rate that can drift permanently — following a bounded random walk with upper bound 3 percent and lower bound 0 …

Published Journal of Political Economy Online 30 Apr 2026 Published Jul 2026
The Zero-Beta Interest Rate

Mikhail Chernov · Lars A. Lochstoer · Dongho Song

Layer 1: Overview This paper proposes and measures the zero-beta rate — the expected return on a portfolio of stocks with zero market beta, constructed to be orthogonal to the SDF innovations spanned …