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Natural-Rate-of-Interest
Natural-Rate-of-Interest
4 papers tracked
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Journal of Money, Credit and Banking
Online 15 Sep 2025
Monetary Policy and the Drifting Natural Rate of InterestSandra Daudignon · Oreste Tristani
This paper analyzes how monetary policy should respond to a long-run natural interest rate that can drift permanently — following a bounded random walk with upper bound 3 percent and lower bound 0 …
Online First
Journal of Money, Credit and Banking
Online 2 Jun 2026
Monetary Policy, Employment Shortfalls, and the Natural Rate HypothesisMichael T. Kiley
This paper examines optimal monetary policy under discretion when the loss function is asymmetric — placing greater weight on employment shortfalls than on equivalently sized employment strength. The …
Published
Journal of Political Economy
Online 30 Apr 2026
Published Jul 2026
The Zero-Beta Interest RateMikhail Chernov · Lars A. Lochstoer · Dongho Song
Layer 1: Overview This paper proposes and measures the zero-beta rate — the expected return on a portfolio of stocks with zero market beta, constructed to be orthogonal to the SDF innovations spanned …