Macro Paper Warehouse Forthcoming macro & monetary research

Macroeconomics

Macroeconomics

Browse all macroeconomics tracked in the warehouse.

A Cognitive Theory of Reasoning and Choice
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A Model of Multiple Hypothesis Testing
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A Monetary-Fiscal Theory of Sudden Inflations
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A Theory of Supply Function Choice and Aggregate Supply
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A traffic-jam theory of growth
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A Welfare Analysis of Policies Impacting Climate Change
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Additionality and Asymmetric Information in Environmental Markets: Evidence from Conservation Auctions
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Aggregate demand externality and self-fulfilling default cycles
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Aggregation and the Estimation of Quality Change
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An endogenous gridpoint method for distributional dynamics
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Anatomy of the Phillips Curve: Micro Evidence and Macro Implications
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Are Inflationary Shocks Regressive? A Feasible Set Approach
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Artificial intelligence and technological unemployment
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Auctions with Frictions: Recruitment, Entry, and Limited Commitment
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Automated credit limit increases and consumer welfare
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Automation and Rent Dissipation
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Bank Information Production Over the Business Cycle
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Barriers to Global Capital Allocation
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Biased expectations and labor market outcomes: Evidence from German survey data and implications for the East–West wage gap
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Bottom-Up Markup Fluctuations
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Bridging micro and macro production functions: The fiscal multiplier of infrastructure investment
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Cap‐and‐Trade and Carbon Tax Meet Arrow–Debreu
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Cash or card? A structural model of payment choices
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Catastrophes, Delays, and Learning
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Central bank communication by ??? The economics of monetary policy leaks
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Central bank reputation with noise
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Changing Opportunity: Sociological Mechanisms Underlying Growing Class Gaps
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Choice and Opportunity Costs
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Climate change and the macroeconomics of bank capital regulation
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Coarse Bayesian Updating
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Collusion with Optimal Information Disclosure
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Comment on "Artificial Intelligence and Technological Unemployment" by Wang and Wong
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Comment on: Is it AI or data that drives market power?
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Competing under Information Heterogeneity: Evidence from Auto Insurance
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Competition and the Phillips curve
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Competition in a Spatially-Differentiated Product Market with Negotiated Prices
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Competitive Advertising and Pricing
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Consistent Evidence on Duration Dependence of Price Changes
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Consumer durables and monetary policy according to HANK
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Contextually Private Mechanisms
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Costly Multidimensional Screening
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Counterfactual Analysis for Structural Dynamic Discrete Choice Models
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Customer accumulation, returns to scale, and secular trends
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Customer Acquisition, Business Dynamism and Aggregate Growth
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De Gustibus and Disputes about Reference Dependence
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Debiasing and T-Tests for Synthetic Control Inference on Average Causal Effects
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Decision Theory for Treatment Choice Problems with Partial Identification
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Demand Analysis under Latent Choice Constraints
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Destabilizing Capital Flows amid Global Inflation
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Devaluations, Deposit Dollarization, and Household Heterogeneity
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Digital Distractions with Peer Influence
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Disincentive effects of unemployment insurance benefits
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Distorted prices and targeted taxes in the New Keynesian Network model
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Diversification, Market Entry, and the Global Internet Backbone
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Do Credit Conditions Move House Prices?
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Do Financial Concerns Make Workers Less Productive?
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Do The Effects of Nudges Persist? Theory and Evidence from 38 Natural Field Experiments
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Does Deposit Insurance Promote Deposit Stability? Evidence from the Postal Savings System during the 1920s
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Double Robustness of Local Projections and Some Unpleasant VARithmetic
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Dynamic Concern for Misspecification
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Education and the Margins of Cyclical Adjustment in the Labor Market
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Energy Transitions in Regulated Markets
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Enlightenment Ideals and Belief in Progress in the Run-up to the Industrial Revolution
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Environmental Consequences of Hydrocarbon Infrastructure Policy
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Evaluating macroeconomic outcomes under asymmetries: Expectations matter
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Expectation-driven term structure of equity and bond yields
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Explicit consumption functions with borrowing constraints: A continuous-time approach
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Failing Banks
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Financial Frictions: Micro versus Macro Volatility
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Financial shocks and leverage of financial institutions: When do they matter?
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Firm dynamics and random search over the business cycle
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FraNK: Fragmentation in the NK Model
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From Doubt to Devotion: Trials and Learning-Based Pricing
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Gendered Spheres of Learning and Household Decision-Making over Fertility
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Genetic Prediction and Adverse Selection
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Growth Experiences and Trust in Government
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Heterogeneity and the Macro-Economic Effects of Changes in Loan-to-Value Limits
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Heterogeneous innovations and growth under imperfect technology spillovers
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How Do Rising U.S. Interest Rates Affect Emerging and Developing Economies? It Depends
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Identification and Estimation of Dynamic Random Coefficient Models
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Identification of Time-Inconsistent Models: The Case of Insecticide-Treated Nets
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Ideological Alignment and Evidence-Based Policy Adoption
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Inference Based on Time-Varying SVARs Identified with Sign Restrictions
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Input Sourcing under Climate Risk: Evidence from U.S. Manufacturing Firms
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Insuring Peace: Index-Based Livestock Insurance, Droughts, and Conflict
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Jackknife Standard Errors for Clustered Regression
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Labor Market Shocks and Monetary Policy
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Latent Heterogeneity in the Marginal Propensity to Consume
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Lender concentration of external debts and sudden stops
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Life-cycle worker flows and cross-country differences in aggregate employment
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Linking Social and Personal Preferences: Theory and Experiment
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Lives Versus Livelihoods: The Impact of the Great Recession on Mortality and Welfare
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Local Projection-Based Inference under General Conditions
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Manipulation-Robust Prediction
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Marginal Propensity to Consume and Personal Characteristics: Evidence from Bank Transaction Data and Survey
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Market Segmentation through Information
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Markov-Perfect Equilibria in Differential Games—With an Application to Climate Policy
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Markups Across Space and Time
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Marriage, Fertility, and Cultural Integration in Italy
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Merger Effects and Antitrust Enforcement: Evidence from US Consumer Packaged Goods
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Micro MPCs and Macro Counterfactuals: The Case of the 2008 Rebates
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Motivating banks to lend? Credit spillover effects of the Main Street Lending Program
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Narratives about the Macroeconomy
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Normal Approximation in Large Network Models
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Open Rule Legislative Bargaining
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Optimal Decision Rules When Payoffs are Partially Identified
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Optimal Public Transportation Networks: Evidence from the World's Largest Bus Rapid Transit System in Jakarta
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Optimal Resilience in Multitier Supply Chains
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Optimal Tests Following Sequential Experiments
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Organizational Change and Reference-Dependent Preferences
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Patent Term, Innovation, and the Role of Technology Disclosure Externalities
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Peer Effects in Consideration and Preferences
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Permanent Capital Losses after Banking Crises
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Pigovian Transport Pricing in Practice
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Policy Biases in a Model with Labor‐Market Frictions
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Praying for Rain
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Professional survey forecasts and expectations in DSGE models
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Quantifying Supply-Side Climate Policies
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Quota Mechanisms: Finite-Sample Optimality and Robustness
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Racial disparities in crime and wealth
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Random Utility with Unobservable Alternatives
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Rent Guarantee Insurance
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Riding the Housing Wave: Home Equity Withdrawal and Consumer Debt Composition
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Risk Sharing Tests and Covariate Shocks: Drought, Floods, and Pests in Uganda
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Robot adoption and inflation dynamics
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Running Primary Deficits Forever in a Dynamically Efficient Economy: Feasibility and Optimality
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Screening and Segmenting: A Consumer Surplus Perspective
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Selection in Surveys: Using Randomized Incentives to Detect and Account for Nonresponse Bias
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Skill-Replacing Technology and Bottom-Half Inequality
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Soft landing and inflation scares
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Spread too thin: The impact of lean inventories
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Staffing agencies and in-house bargaining
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Structural Change, Land Use and Urban Expansion
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Take the Goods and Run: Contracting Frictions and Market Power in Supply Chains
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Taylor Rule Deviations Across Horizons: A Practical Tool for Monetary Policy
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Testing Mechanisms
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The Architecture of Social Networks and the Diffusion of Innovations
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The Dynamics of Internal Migration: A New Fact and its Implications
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The Dynamics of Verification when Searching for Quality
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The Economics of Equilibrium with Indivisible Goods
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The Effect of Omitted Variables on the Sign of Regression Coefficients
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The Geography of job creation and job destruction
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The housing wealth effect: Quasi-experimental evidence
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The Illiquidity of Water Markets
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The Impact of Unions on Nonunion Wage Setting: Threats and Bargaining
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The Macroeconomic Consequences of Exchange Rate Depreciations
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The Macroeconomics of Irreversibility
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The Price of Housing in the United States, 1890–2006
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The Surrogate Index: Combining Short-Term Proxies to Estimate Long-Term Treatment Effects More Rapidly and Precisely
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Wage growth and labor market tightness
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When Did Growth Begin? New Estimates of Productivity Growth in England from 1250 to 1870
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When is TSLS Actually LATE?
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Why Doesn't the United States Have National Health Insurance?
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Why Is Intermediating Houses So Difficult? Evidence from iBuyers
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