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Central-Bank-Communication

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Published American Economic Journal: Macroeconomics Published Jul 2026
Deciphering Federal Reserve Communication via Text Analysis of Alternative FOMC Statements

Taeyoung Doh · Dongho Song · Shu-Kuei Yang

This paper proposes a text-based measure of monetary policy stance by modelling FOMC post-meeting statements as convex combinations of the staff-drafted dovish (“alternative A”) and …

Published Econometrica Online 1 Jan 2025
Tell Me Something I Don't Already Know: Learning in Low- and High-Inflation Settings

Michael Weber · Bernardo Candia · Hassan Afrouzi · Tiziano Ropele · Rodrigo Lluberas · Serafin Frache · Brent Meyer · Saten Kumar · Yuriy Gorodnichenko · Dimitris Georgarakos · Olivier Coibion · Geoff Kenny · Jorge Ponce

This paper uses randomized control trials (RCTs) applied over time in multiple countries to study whether the economic environment — specifically the level of inflation — affects how agents learn from …