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G15

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Published American Economic Review Online 1 Nov 2025 Published Nov 2025
A Preferred-Habitat Model of Term Premia, Exchange Rates, and Monetary Policy Spillovers

Pierre-Olivier Gourinchas · Walker Ray · Dimitri Vayanos

Layer 1 — Core Argument The paper develops a two-country preferred-habitat model in which currency and bond markets are populated by different investor clienteles — currency traders with price-elastic …