C5

Barbara Rossi

Asked whether anything forecasts exchange rates, this survey's answer is "it depends" -- on the predictor, the horizon, the sample, the model and the evaluation test. Predictability shows up most …

Kelli Marquardt

This paper develops and estimates a structural model of ADHD diagnosis to decompose the mechanisms driving the observed 2.3:1 male-to-female diagnostic difference in the United States. The research …

Yuliya Rychalovska · Sergey Slobodyan · Rafael Wouters

This paper asks whether Survey of Professional Forecasters (SPF) data can be efficiently integrated into medium-scale DSGE models, and whether models with imperfectly rational expectations based on …