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Stefan Dercon

Professor of Economic Policy · University of Oxford

Professor of Economic Policy at the University of Oxford (Blavatnik School of Government and Department of Economics) and Director of the Centre for the Study of African Economies. Studies poverty and development, mainly in Africa; Chief Economist of the UK Department for International Development 2011-2017.

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Published Quarterly Journal of Economics Online 19 Jan 2026 Published Apr 2026
The Future in Mind: Aspirations and Long-Term Outcomes in Rural Ethiopia

Tanguy Bernard · Stefan Dercon · Kate Orkin · Giulio Schinaia · Alemayehu Seyoum Taffesse

This paper tests whether a light-touch behavioral intervention targeting aspirations can produce persistent economic effects on a poor rural population. The research question is whether changing how …